What happened?
The Famine Early Warning System Network projects Crisis (IPC Phase 3) food security outcomes will persist across specified Chadian provinces from May to September 2026, driven by worsening insecurity along the Sudan border, armed group attacks in the Lake Chad Basin, pastoral and agricultural lean season onset, depleted food stocks, rising staple
Countries: Chad, Sudan Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Key Messages Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) outcomes are expected to persist between May and September in the provinces of Ennedi-Est (Wadi Hawar), Wadi Fira (Dar Tama, Kobé), Ouaddaï (Assoungha), and Sila (Kimiti). Refugees continue to arrive without livelihood assets. With worsening insecurity along the Sudan border and the onset of the pastoral and agricultural lean seasons, work and income-generating opportunities are extremely limited for refugees, further constraining their access to food. Refugees face food consumption deficits and are increasingly dependent on food assistance. Food access for host households will also deteriorate due to worsening security conditions, depleted food stocks, rising prices, and declining income caused by competition with refugees for limited livelihood opportunities. As a result, host households will increasingly resort to borrowing, which will be insufficient to cover their food consumption deficits. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to persist through September 2026 in Lac Province, and in Kanem and Barh El Gazel provinces beginning in June. Attacks by armed groups in the Lake Chad Basin, along with the resulting forced population displacements, have caused a continued deterioration of livelihoods, particularly fishing and livestock production. In Kanem and Barh El Gazel, these outcomes are driven by depleted food stocks, declining income from wild food collection, and heavy dependence on markets, combined with high staple food costs during the lean season. Food access will become increasingly difficult, especially on islands threatened by insecurity and livelihood destruction. Consumption deficits will be most severe among displaced households and poor host communities. The influx of refugees and returnees into eastern Chad continues, although a slowdown has been observed since April 2026 . Only 1,674 new Sudanese refugee ar
