Countries: Burundi, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Key Messages Uneven rainfall performance during the March–May rainy season has led to mixed outcomes across the bimodal regions of East Africa. While local production is expected to vary locally, regional crop production is likely to be near average overall. Southern Somalia (Bay and Bakool regions) present the largest areas of concern. Pasture and surface water conditions are generally adequate, with some concern for southeastern Ethiopia and Somalia. Anticipated El Niño conditions may delay the onset of seasonal rains and suppress rainfall across western and northern areas of East Africa during June–September. Later in the year forecast El Niño could increase the likelihood of above-average rainfall across many eastern and southern areas of East Africa during the October–December season.
